A select group had gathered in the Cabinet Office in No.10 Downing Street. The Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain was seated at the head of the table. In front of him were some pills and a glass of water. To his left sat Antony Eden, the Foreign Secretary and the First Lord of the Admiralty James Stanhope (The Earl Stanhope). Beyond them sat Sir Kingsley Wood the Chancellor of the Exchequer. On Mr Chamberlain’s right were the Chief of Air Staff Air Chief Marshal Sir Cyril Newall, First Sea Lord Admiral of the Fleet Roger Backhouse and the Commander of the Imperial General Staff (C.I.G.S.) General John Dill. It was a select meeting and Mr Eden got the proceedings going.
“Well gentlemen let us look at the current situation in the Middle East before proceeding to discuss the Far Eastern situation.” Anthony looked at the PM who was rubbing his stomach slightly looking pale and drawn. In the last few weeks his head looked very skull-like. He felt for him as he knew he was suffering in pain and that he only had months left to live. He seemed detached from the goings on in the room. Newell pulled out a buff folder and began leafing through the pages, he carefully selected one and removed it; “This is the latest air intelligence report on the Persian Air Force, they now have over a hundred and fifty DeBroek F-3P and the same amount of Nakajima Ki-43 fighters in service on or order. The items of main concern to us are ninety Martin A-21 bombers, forty Curtiss C-46 and twenty Douglas C-54 transports along with sixty Martin B-26 bombers. The transports imply a greater aerial mobility in the future for the Army and the much increased bomber force will be vastly superior by 1942. It poses a direct threat to our airfields in Iraq, any fleet units stationed there and it must be countered.” The PM sipped his water and then spoke, “It is a betrayal of the Long Administration to have sold the Persians those bombers, especially so soon after the sale of the cruiser. We need to show a firm hand in the face of these moves by the Indian puppets. We must stand firm if we are to convince the new military administration of India to uphold its word on the security of Iraq.” Antony chipped in, “We need to provide Iraq with enhanced security if only to reassure them and convince Persia not to act alone, if it can. Cyril, what steps could we take to counter these new bombers?” The Chief of the Air Staff pulled a leaf of paper from his folder, “New airfields are being constructed at Al Amarah, Al Jarrah, Balad near Baghdad and Rutba near the Jordanian border. Some of these were meant for the Iraqi Air Force but will take possession of all four. All will be fully equipped airfields equal to anything built in this country allowing us to station between eight and twelve more squadrons in Iraq. The Air staff believe the best counter to the bombers would be increased fighter defences, preferably with long-range types to strike at the Persian bomber airfields and destroy as many on the ground as possible. That would also require bombers like the Mosquito and the Buckingham. The ultimate defence will be to station a wing of four-engined heavy bombers in Iraq as a disincentive for Persia to begin bombing civilian targets in any possible future war. That decision though would need agreement from the cabinet to proceed.” The PM nodded, “I think that could be arranged easily enough, there are three Cabinet members present. Anthony, do you agree?” Eden needed no time to mull a decision, it was clear that Chamberlain wished to avoid including the entire cabinet in a decision that might prove controversial and secret. “Yes I agree.” “Good, Kingsley what do you say?” The Chancellor of the Exchequer was scribbling some notes down, “I trust the Iraqi government is aiding the payments of construction of these new airfields?” Newall nodded, “Well we can reimburse covertly if necessary. Very well, I’d say we have no choice but to employ more bombers to the region.” Newall seemed upbeat that he had made an impression and gotten his way so easily. Eden summed up, “These bombers will make a clear statement to both Persia and India that we intend to hold onto Iraq. I suggest the bombers are based nearer to Jordan, that might less threatening. Very well, Roger what can the Navy do?”
The Admiral coughed before he spoke, “Well we’ve created an Iraqi Navy, four old S Class destroyers and a Fox Class cruiser. That should prove an adequate coastal defence force. Plan Fortune is the current plan in the event of a Persian or Indian move into the Middle East. The whole idea is to bottle the Persian Fleet inside the Gulf by mining the Hormuz Straits and the batteries could repel any attempts to bypass them. We would stop oil convoys after the first few days of war so our light forces inside the Gulf can reduce the Persians piecemeal without being distracted by convoy work. In an case the Gulf is too exposed for convoys. Meanwhile the bulk of the fleet in the Med will form a plug the other side of the Strait. They will prevent a Persian breakout and most importantly will stop any Indian attack from the East or any landings in the Oman locale. The Persian Fleet will wither inside its trap.” “And my boys will sink whatever is left afloat,” Cyril chimed in, “and the Fleet Air Arm of course,” he muttered as Roger gave him an icy look. Roger continued, “Whatever happens the positions at Hormuz must be held. The Indians also face the threat of the Far Eastern Fleet so they can’t concentrate much force and if they can it will only be for a limited period. What will make the job easier of course is another set of coastal defences, more quick-firing guns and couple of additional 16.5in turrets.” Kingsley Wood seemed anxious at this last point, “Those works cost a fortune, why build more shore guns that can be bombed from Persia quite easily or stormed by a landing party? Surely those risks outweigh the effectiveness of another fortress?” Eden moved to see what the Army could offer, “John what plans are there for the Iraqi Army and could you hold Hormuz?” General Dill thumbed a small file, “The Iraqi Army currently has around 26,500 officers and men. By 1944 it is planned the Army will grow to 40,000 officers and men. Currently the Iraqi Army has eleven Infantry Battalions organized into four brigades, three Artillery Regiments which will all have 25pdr guns by 1942, one combat-proven independent anti-tank Brigade which in my view is superior to any such British formation, one Armoured Car Regiment and one Armoured Regiment with eighty Crusader tanks. We also plan to boost the AA defences of the Army by 1942 with heavy ack-ack guns. We could make the Armoured Regiment a Division by 1944 but of course we have two armoured divisions in Iraq and could have as many as five in position if enough warning is given. The Iraqi Army is too small to offer serious defence on its own and in my view its worth is yet to be proven. Likely they will be inferior to British units in combat despite our training but they could exact a toll on advancing forces. There is no point fortifying the border. My aim is to destroy the enemy in open mobile combat and defeat him before making a counter-attack. As Sir Wood pointed out my main concern is amphibious landings around the coast from Aden to Hormuz. The coast is wide open and Asir presents a diversion of effort and a possible threat to the Red Sea. We lack forces to adequately protect all of Arabia. I must ask for more manpower, withdrawing units from Baluchistan is an option.” The PM waved his hand, “We shall see, I’m sure something can be arranged to move some forces from Africa, we don’t want to appear weak in Baluchistan at this time and our allies there need our presence.” “Without a secure coastline our blockade would be impaired but the Navy would prevent any breakout and prevent any Indian reinforcements reaching Persia by sea”, Roger added to comfort any feelings of risk in the minds of the politicians. General Dill continued, “I would rather two more Brigades than another coastal battery. If those guns were taken they would be used to prevent our reinforcements and Navy from passing the Strait. An overland attack would take too long and the chance of us making a successful sea landing of our own seems remote.”
“The Germans promised us some help and it might be wise to see what they could bring to the table” Kingsley Wood added. Antony thought this would be unlikely, yes the Germans had offered help and had shown interest but that aid would take time to arrive and he knew it would be tricky for Germany to get the public support to send men and ships to the Middle East. “Well its early days yet, we cannot afford to skimp on our plans on assumptions like that” he added laconically. The PM took a pill. “Of course Persia is in disarray still and resentful of Indian rule and India herself is bogged down in Afghanistan to a degree. All that makes any short-term threat unlikely but the new military driven government may feel emboldened to act in the future. They may not have invaded Arabia last year because they felt we had the upper hand. We need to keep the upper hand, the more power we have at our disposal the less likely it is they will dare to act.” That was Eden’s summing up. The PM then forced a weak smile, “Very good, we ust hope our policy works as failure in the Middle East could doom the entire Empire. At a time when China is snapping at our heels we can’t afford to show a weak face.”